FTTH Market Forecasts 2023-2028

The market forecasts are consistent with the previous estimates and in line with the conclusions of the FTTH/B Market Panorama. The data foresee around 211 M homes passed for FTTH/B in 2028 in EU27+UK and 308 M homes passed in the EU39 region. It is expected that the top 3 countries in terms of homes passed will be Germany (33,5 M), France (33,2 M), and United Kingdom (30,7 M).

According to the forecasts, the number of subscribers is expected to reach 137 M in EU27+UK and 196 M in EU39 region, with take-up rates experiencing steady growth in both regions.

The physical limitation of existing cable and copper networks in terms of bandwidth is pushing telecom players to deploy full fibre solutions. In addition, increased traffic demand in the region is pushing operators to update their networks to Full Fibre in order to be ready for new traffic peaks. Thanks to recently launched national programmes coupled with DAE targets for 2025 & 2030, full-fibre connectivity will be reaching new high levels in European countries.

On the technology side, the data report a significant trend whereby PON is gradually but clearly prevailing over point-to-point fibre, as a consequence of the progress of PON technologies on one side, and the strong focus on power consumption and sustainability on the other.